Premier League Finished
Our pick: Fulham to win at 2.54, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Ipswich Town 2 · Fulham 1
Ipswich Town won
Our pick, Fulham to win at locked odds 2.54, lost. It was published with 38% confidence, leaving a 62% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Fulham to win had shortened from 2.54 to 2.35, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Fulham are a hair in front in the Premier League market for the game with Ipswich Town on 10 October 2026, at 2.54 compared with 2.688 for Ipswich Town and 3.48 for the draw. The implied chance is 37.4% for Fulham, 35.3% for Ipswich Town and 27.3% for the draw.
The record across all competitions combined covers 15 meetings since 2000, with Fulham winning 6, Ipswich Town 5 and 4 ending without a winner. The last was in the Premier League on 5 January 2025. We have no recent results for either side.
Fulham to win is our pick, at 38% confidence. The market chance of 37.4% rose by 0.5 points because the head-to-head record leans to Fulham. With such a narrow gap and no team news available, this is a delicate call that could go either way.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Draw 28% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 33.60 Possible profit +23.60
Prediction: Fulham to win 41% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.90 Possible profit +12.90
Prediction: Manchester City to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.68 Possible profit +7.68
Prediction: Arsenal to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Nottingham Forest
Coventry City
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Arsenal
Everton