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Prematch Sports Prediction

Serie A Finished

Roma vs Genoa Prediction

Our pick: Roma to win at 1.275, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Roma

vs

Olimpico (Rome)

Genoa

Result

Won

Roma 2 · Genoa 0

Roma won

How our call settled

Our pick, Roma to win at locked odds 1.275, won. It was published with 76% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Roma to win had drifted from 1.275 to 1.592, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Roma are heavy favourites in the bookmaker line for the Serie A fixture with Genoa on 17 October 2026, priced at 1.275, with the draw at 5.70 and Genoa at 10.50. As implied chances, that is 74.3% for Roma, 16.6% for the draw and 9.0% for Genoa.

Across all competitions combined, Roma have won 9 of the 15 meetings since 2018 and Genoa 2, with 4 ending without a winner. The latest was a Serie A match on 8 March 2026. We hold no recent results for either club.

We pick Roma to win, at 76% confidence, because they lead the implied chances. The head-to-head record in their favour added 1.4 points to the market chance of 74.3%. Team news, weather and pitch details are not available, so even a strong favourite can be caught out.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Roma 1.275 Our pick
X · Draw 20.00
2 · Genoa 200.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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Our call: 2

Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.56 Possible profit +14.56