La Liga Finished
Our pick: Draw at 3.09, locked when this prediction was published. No team reached 45% once the bookmaker margin was removed, and the draw sat within 10 points of the favourite, so the call is the draw; the analysis below is written from match data.
Getafe 1 · Rayo Vallecano 1
Match drawn
Our pick, Draw at locked odds 3.09, won. It was published with 31% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Draw had shortened from 3.09 to 3.02, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Getafe and Rayo Vallecano meet in La Liga on 19 October 2026 with the market almost level. Getafe are the narrow favourites at 2.664 (an implied chance of 35.6%), Rayo Vallecano follow at 2.825 (33.6%), and the draw is priced at 3.09 (30.7%).
Across all competitions combined, the 15 meetings since 2016 brought 5 wins for Rayo Vallecano, 3 for Getafe and 7 games without a winner. The last was in La Liga on 3 May 2026. We have no recent results for either team.
Our pick is the draw, at 31% confidence. The draw rule is met: no team reaches 45%, the draw sits under the 33% ceiling, and Getafe lead it by 4.9 points, inside the 10 allowed. Our records left the market chance of 30.7% unchanged, and unseen team news keeps either side in contention.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Prediction: Deportivo Alaves to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.35 Possible profit +7.35
Prediction: Espanyol to win 38% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.70 Possible profit +14.70
Elche
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Deportivo Alaves
Malaga
Racing de Santander
Espanyol