Skip to content
Prematch Sports Prediction

Bundesliga Finished

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger Prediction

Our pick: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win at 1.435, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

vs

PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Hamburger

Result

Lost

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 · Hamburger 3

Hamburger won

How our call settled

Our pick, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win at locked odds 1.435, lost. It was published with 67% confidence, leaving a 33% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win had shortened from 1.435 to 1.42, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are favourites at 1.435 against Hamburger in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Hamburger are priced at 6.70 and the draw at 4.80.

Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 66.1% for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, 19.8% for the draw and 14.2% for Hamburger. Across all competitions combined the clubs have met 15 times since 2012, with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 8, Hamburger 5 and 2 drawn or undecided; the latest was a Bundesliga game on 25 April 2026.

Our selection is TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win, at 67% confidence. The head-to-head record gave the market chance of 66.1% a modest lift of 0.8 points. We cannot see recent results or any team news, which is the main reason to treat the call with caution.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1.435 Our pick
X · Draw 1.10
2 · Hamburger 12.50

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

Related picks