UEFA Champions League Finished
Our pick: Liverpool to win at 1.23, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
LASK Linz 3 · Liverpool 6
Liverpool won
Our pick, Liverpool to win at locked odds 1.23, won. It was published with 78% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Liverpool to win had drifted from 1.23 to 1.365, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Liverpool are strong favourites at 1.23 against LASK Linz in the UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026. LASK Linz are priced at 10.50 and the draw at 6.75.
Without the bookmaker margin, the implied chance is 77.0% for Liverpool, 14.0% for the draw and 9.0% for LASK Linz. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met twice since 2023 and Liverpool won both games, the latest on 30 November 2023 in the league stage of the UEFA Europa League. We hold no recent results for either side.
Our pick is Liverpool to win at 78% confidence, as they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans to Liverpool and raised the 77.0% market chance by 1.0 points. That record is short and dated, and line-ups and team news are not available to us.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Liverpool to win 67% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.75 Possible profit +4.75
Prediction: Sporting Clube de Portugal to win 77% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 12.75 Possible profit +2.75
Prediction: Fenerbahce to win 59% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.25 Possible profit +6.25
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
Villarreal
Sporting Clube de Portugal
Fenerbahce
Slavia Prague
Sabah Baku
Borussia Dortmund