Serie A Finished
Our pick: Lazio to win at 1.65, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Lazio 3 · Monza 1912 1
Lazio won
Our pick, Lazio to win at locked odds 1.65, won. It was published with 60% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Lazio to win had shortened from 1.65 to 1.63, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Lazio face Monza 1912 in Serie A on 11 October 2026, with the bookmaker line pricing Lazio as favourite at 1.65. Monza 1912 are on 5.40 and the draw on 3.82, and stripping out the margin leaves implied chances of 57.6% for Lazio, 24.9% for the draw and 17.6% for Monza 1912.
Across all competitions combined, they have played 7 matches since 2006. Lazio have won 4, Monza 1912 none, and 3 were drawn or undecided; the most recent was in Serie A on 9 February 2025. Neither side has recent results on file here.
Lazio to win is the pick, rated at 60% confidence. Lazio lead the market once the margin is gone, and because the head-to-head record also leans their way, the market chance of 57.6% was raised by 2.5 points. What we cannot see, from line-ups and injuries to suspensions, weather and the pitch, is the chief danger to this call.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Torino to win 45% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.05 Possible profit +11.05
Prediction: Draw 32% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 29.44 Possible profit +19.44
Prediction: Como to win 68% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Roma to win 37% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.56 Possible profit +14.56
Torino
Cagliari Calcio
Bologna 1909
Como
Sassuolo Calcio
Napoli
Roma