Toulouse vs Troyes AC
Prediction: Toulouse to win 64% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.70 Possible profit +5.70
Ligue 1 Upcoming
Our pick: Troyes AC to win at 2.10, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
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Troyes AC face Le Mans in Ligue 1 on 31 October 2026, and the bookmaker line on the match winner, 90 minutes plus stoppage time, makes Troyes AC the favourite at decimal odds of 2.10. The draw is priced at 3.56 and Le Mans at 3.36. The implied chance is 45.1% for Troyes AC, 28.2% for Le Mans and 26.6% for the draw.
In the Ligue 1 table Le Mans are in position 16 with 6 points from 7 played, and Troyes AC are in position 17 with 4 points from 7 played. Across all competitions combined, the head-to-head record shows 14 meetings, with 7 wins for Le Mans, 4 for Troyes AC and 3 draws, ties or no result. Troyes AC lost to RC Lens on 17 October 2026, and Le Mans lost to Toulouse on 16 October 2026.
We pick Troyes AC to win, with a confidence of 41%. The pick is the favourite in the bookmaker line, but the table, head-to-head and recent results all lean to Le Mans, so they moved the market chance of 45.1% down by 3.9 points. Line-ups, injuries, suspensions and team news are not available to us, and with Troyes AC's poor run this is among our least comfortable calls.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
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