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Our pick: Leeds United to win at 2.40, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
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Leeds United face Sunderland in the Premier League on 25 October 2026, and the market makes Leeds United the favourite at odds of 2.40. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, the implied chance is 39.6% for Leeds United, 32.6% for Sunderland and 27.8% for the draw.
We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Each club has just 1 recent result on file, a loss on 10 October 2026, Leeds United against Arsenal and Sunderland against Brighton & Hove Albion, so the recent form reads as level.
We pick Leeds United to win, with a confidence of 40%. The reason is simply that the market favours them once its margin is gone, and our records left the market chance of 39.6% unchanged. This is a close contest with thin records, and team news is not available to us, so Sunderland remain a real danger.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
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Press an outcome to see its example return in the calculator. Our pick shows its locked odds; the others show the best current price.
Prediction: Sunderland to win 57% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.04 Possible profit +7.04
Prediction: Draw 28% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 33.60 Possible profit +23.60
Prediction: Manchester City to win 54% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.68 Possible profit +7.68
Prediction: Fulham to win 41% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.90 Possible profit +12.90
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