Skip to content
Prematch Sports Prediction

UEFA Europa League Finished

N.E.C. vs Levski Sofia Prediction

Our pick: N.E.C. to win at 1.856, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

N.E.C.

vs

Goffert (Nijmegen)

Levski Sofia

Result

Lost

N.E.C. 1 · Levski Sofia 1

Match drawn

How our call settled

Our pick, N.E.C. to win at locked odds 1.856, lost. It was published with 51% confidence, leaving a 49% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on N.E.C. to win had shortened from 1.856 to 1.73, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

N.E.C. are the market favourite for their UEFA Europa League meeting with Levski Sofia on 15 October 2026. They are priced at 1.856, with the draw at 3.76 and Levski Sofia at 4.02.

Without the margin, the implied chance is 51.1% for N.E.C., 25.2% for the draw and 23.6% for Levski Sofia. We have no head-to-head record and no recent results for these two clubs, so the market stands alone.

N.E.C. to win is the pick, at 51% confidence, because they are the favourite once the margin is removed. With no records to draw on, the 51.1% market chance was left unchanged. Team news is not available, so Levski Sofia could still spring a surprise.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · N.E.C. 1.856 Our pick
X · Draw 3.62
2 · Levski Sofia 5.80

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

Related picks