Ligue 1 Finished
Our pick: Lyon to win at 1.65, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Lyon 2 · Nice 1
Lyon won
Our pick, Lyon to win at locked odds 1.65, won. It was published with 58% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Lyon to win had drifted from 1.65 to 1.98, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Lyon are the favourites for the Ligue 1 fixture with Nice on 18 October 2026, priced at 1.65 against 5.05 for Nice. Margin-free, the implied chance is 57.5% for Lyon, 23.7% for the draw and 18.8% for Nice.
Over all competitions, Lyon have won 8 of 15 meetings since 2020 and Nice 5, with 2 ending without a winner. They last met in Ligue 1 on 15 February 2026. No recent results for either team are available.
We pick Lyon to win with 58% confidence. The market chance of 57.5% was adjusted upward by 1.0 points as the head-to-head record leans to Lyon. Team news and pitch conditions are not known to us, so a late surprise is the main risk.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 to win 43% confidence
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Prediction: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win 37% confidence
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Prediction: Toulouse to win 64% confidence
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Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
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Stade Brestois 29
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Toulouse
Troyes AC
Sabah Baku
Borussia Dortmund