Serie A Finished
Our pick: Milan to win at 1.856, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Sassuolo Calcio 1 · Milan 1
Match drawn
Our pick, Milan to win at locked odds 1.856, lost. It was published with 52% confidence, leaving a 48% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Milan to win had drifted from 1.856 to 1.89, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Sassuolo Calcio and Milan meet in Serie A on 11 October 2026. The bookmaker line makes Milan favourite at 1.856, with the draw at 3.72 and Sassuolo Calcio at 4.06. As implied chances, that is 51.1% for Milan, 25.5% for the draw and 23.4% for Sassuolo Calcio.
Across all competitions combined, these clubs have met 15 times since 2018. Milan won 7, Sassuolo Calcio won 4 and 4 were drawn or undecided, the last of them in Serie A on 3 May 2026. No recent results are available for either club.
Milan to win is our pick, at 52% confidence, since Milan are the market favourite on the implied chances. The head-to-head record, which leans to Milan, raised the market chance of 51.1% by 1.3 points. Line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather and pitch details are not available, which is reason enough to treat the figure with care.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Como to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Bournemouth to win 44% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.32 Possible profit +12.32
Prediction: Torino to win 45% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.05 Possible profit +11.05
Prediction: Draw 32% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 29.44 Possible profit +19.44
Como
Bournemouth
Torino
Monza 1912
Cagliari Calcio
Bologna 1909