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Prematch Sports Prediction

Serie A Finished

Unione Venezia vs Napoli Prediction

Our pick: Napoli to win at 1.71, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Unione Venezia

vs

Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice)

Napoli

Result

Lost

Unione Venezia 1 · Napoli 0

Unione Venezia won

How our call settled

Our pick, Napoli to win at locked odds 1.71, lost. It was published with 57% confidence, leaving a 43% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Napoli to win had drifted from 1.71 to 1.765, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Unione Venezia and Napoli meet in Serie A on 17 October 2026, and the market makes Napoli the favourite at 1.71. The draw is priced at 4.02 and Unione Venezia at 4.56.

With the margin removed, the implied chance is 55.5% for Napoli, 23.6% for the draw and 20.8% for Unione Venezia. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 8 times since 2002, with Napoli winning 3, Unione Venezia 1 and 4 ending without a winner; the latest was a Serie A game on 16 March 2025. Recent results are not available for either club.

Napoli to win is our pick, with 57% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans to Napoli and raised the 55.5% market chance by 1.5 points. Line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather and pitch conditions are not available to us, and that gap in our knowledge is the main risk.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Unione Venezia 1.02
X · Draw 14.00
2 · Napoli 1.71 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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