Ligue 1 Finished
Our pick: Nice to win at 2.20, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Nice 2 · Strasbourg 1
Nice won
Our pick, Nice to win at locked odds 2.20, won. It was published with 44% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Nice to win had shortened from 2.20 to 2.10, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Nice are marked as the market favourite for the Ligue 1 tie with Strasbourg on 11 October 2026, at 2.20. The bookmaker line, once its margin is taken out, implies 43.1% for Nice, 30.5% for Strasbourg and 26.4% for the draw.
Their combined record across all competitions is tight: Nice have won 6 of 15 meetings since 2019 and Strasbourg 5, with 4 ending without a winner. They most recently played in the Coupe de France on 22 April 2026. Recent form is missing from our records for both clubs.
The pick is Nice to win, with confidence set at 44%. It starts from a market chance of 43.1% and gains 0.5 points from a head-to-head record that leans to Nice. Because that record is slim and no team news is available, this is a lightly supported call.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
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Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Troyes AC
Fenerbahce
Slavia Prague
Sabah Baku
Borussia Dortmund