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Prematch Sports Prediction

UEFA Europa League Finished

Olympique de Marseille vs Olympiacos Piraeus Prediction

Our pick: Olympique de Marseille to win at 2.10, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Olympique de Marseille

vs

Velodrome (Marseille)

Olympiacos Piraeus

Result

Lost

Olympique de Marseille 0 · Olympiacos Piraeus 1

Olympiacos Piraeus won

How our call settled

Our pick, Olympique de Marseille to win at locked odds 2.10, lost. It was published with 47% confidence, leaving a 53% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Olympique de Marseille to win had drifted from 2.10 to 2.64, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Olympique de Marseille meet Olympiacos Piraeus in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. Olympique de Marseille are the market favourite at 2.10, with Olympiacos Piraeus at 3.32 and the draw at 3.62.

Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 45.2% for Olympique de Marseille, 28.6% for Olympiacos Piraeus and 26.2% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 6 times since 1994, with Olympique de Marseille winning 4 and Olympiacos Piraeus 2; the last meeting was a Champions League group-stage game on 1 December 2020. We have no recent results for either side.

Our pick is Olympique de Marseille to win, at 47% confidence, because they head the market once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans their way and raised the 45.2% market chance by 1.4 points. Team news is not available to us, so Olympiacos Piraeus remain a danger.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Olympique de Marseille 2.10 Our pick
X · Draw 2.94
2 · Olympiacos Piraeus 2.87

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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