Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Olympique de Marseille meet Toulouse in Ligue 1 on 1 November 2026, and the bookmaker line favours Olympique de Marseille at decimal odds of 1.84, against 3.96 for Toulouse and 3.86 for the draw. After the margin is removed, the implied chance is 51.5% for Olympique de Marseille, 24.6% for the draw and 23.9% for Toulouse.

Across all competitions combined, the two teams have met 15 times since 2017, with Olympique de Marseille winning 11 and Toulouse 1, and the last meeting was in Ligue 1 on 7 March 2026. Both teams have 9 points from 7 games, with Olympique de Marseille in position 9 and Toulouse in position 11, and Toulouse have the better recent results, with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 2.

Our call is Olympique de Marseille to win, with a confidence of 55%. The pick follows the market favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed, and the head-to-head record, which leans to Olympique de Marseille, moved the market chance of 51.5% up by 3.0 points, while the recent-results record leans to Toulouse. The main risk is that line-ups, injuries, suspensions and team news are not available to us, and the table has the two teams level.