Bundesliga Finished
Our pick: VfB Stuttgart to win at 1.575, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Paderborn 07 0 · VfB Stuttgart 2
VfB Stuttgart won
Our pick, VfB Stuttgart to win at locked odds 1.575, won. It was published with 63% confidence.
Before the start the best price on VfB Stuttgart to win had drifted from 1.575 to 1.61, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Paderborn 07 face VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. The market names VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 1.575, with Paderborn 07 at 4.90 and the draw at 4.66.
With the margin stripped out, the implied chance is 60.3% for VfB Stuttgart, 20.4% for the draw and 19.4% for Paderborn 07. Across all competitions combined the clubs have met 5 times since 2002, with VfB Stuttgart winning 4, Paderborn 07 none and 1 ending level or without a result; the latest was a DFB Pokal tie on 31 January 2023.
The call is VfB Stuttgart to win, at 63% confidence. It begins with the market chance of 60.3%, which the head-to-head record raised by 2.8 points. No recent results and no team news are available to us, and that gap is where the call is most exposed.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart to win 67% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.16 Possible profit +4.16
Prediction: Paderborn 07 to win 39% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.80 Possible profit +12.80
Prediction: Atletico Madrid to win 38% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.90 Possible profit +12.90
Prediction: RasenBallsport Leipzig to win 74% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.04 Possible profit +3.04
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hamburger
Atletico Madrid
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Elversberg