1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
Prediction: 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 53% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.70 Possible profit +7.70
Bundesliga Finished
Our pick: Werder Bremen to win at 1.825, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Werder Bremen 2 · Paderborn 07 2
Match drawn
Our pick, Werder Bremen to win at locked odds 1.825, lost. It was published with 52% confidence, leaving a 48% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Werder Bremen to win had shortened from 1.825 to 1.72, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Werder Bremen are favourites at 1.825 for their Bundesliga game with Paderborn 07 on 17 October 2026. The market prices Paderborn 07 and the draw the same, at 3.96 each.
With the margin removed, the implied chance is 52.0% for Werder Bremen, 24.0% for Paderborn 07 and 24.0% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 10 times since 2012, with 4 wins each and 2 games ending without a winner; the latest was a club friendly on 8 August 2026.
Werder Bremen to win is our pick at 52% confidence, because they are the favourite once the margin is removed. The level head-to-head record left the 52.0% market chance unchanged. With no recent results or team news to go on, a slip by Werder Bremen is the chief danger.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 53% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.70 Possible profit +7.70
Prediction: Paderborn 07 to win 39% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.80 Possible profit +12.80
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart to win 67% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.16 Possible profit +4.16
Prediction: Augsburg to win 54% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.20 Possible profit +7.20