Ligue 1 Finished
Our pick: Paris to win at 2.29, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Paris 4 · Stade Rennais 3
Paris won
Our pick, Paris to win at locked odds 2.29, won. It was published with 39% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Paris to win had shortened from 2.29 to 2.016, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
The bookmaker line puts Paris slightly ahead of Stade Rennais for the Ligue 1 game on 18 October 2026, at 2.29 versus 3.17, with 3.32 for the draw. The implied chance, margin removed, is 41.5% for Paris, 29.9% for Stade Rennais and 28.6% for the draw.
Across all competitions combined, the head-to-head record is brief: 2 meetings since 2025, both won by Stade Rennais. The latest was in Ligue 1 on 10 May 2026. We hold no recent results for either side.
Our pick remains Paris to win, with confidence at 39%. The market chance of 41.5% was reduced by 2.3 points, because the small head-to-head record points towards Stade Rennais. Team news is not available to us, so this is among the least secure calls.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
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Juventus
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
Toulouse
Troyes AC
Sabah Baku
Borussia Dortmund