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Prematch Sports Prediction

Serie A Finished

Parma vs Torino Prediction

Our pick: Draw at 3.104, locked when this prediction was published. No team reached 45% once the bookmaker margin was removed, and the draw sat within 10 points of the favourite, so the call is the draw; the analysis below is written from match data.

Parma

vs

Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Torino

Result

Lost

Parma 0 · Torino 3

Torino won

How our call settled

Our pick, Draw at locked odds 3.104, lost. It was published with 31% confidence, leaving a 69% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Draw had shortened from 3.104 to 3.10, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Parma and Torino meet in Serie A on 19 October 2026, and the bookmaker line makes Torino the favourites at 2.425, with the draw at 3.104 and Parma at 3.14. Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 39.2% for Torino, 30.6% for the draw and 30.2% for Parma.

Across all competitions combined, the record is level at 5 wins each from 15 meetings since 2013, with 5 ending without a winner. The latest was a Serie A game on 13 March 2026. We have no recent results for either club.

The call is the draw, at 31% confidence. Under our draw rule no team reaches 45%, the draw sits under the 33% ceiling and Torino lead it by just 8.6 points, inside the limit of 10. Our records left the market chance of 30.6% unchanged, and with line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather and pitch conditions not available, either team could still win.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Parma 29.00
X · Draw 3.104 Our pick
2 · Torino 1.06

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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