UEFA Champions League Finished
Our pick: Real Betis to win at 2.09, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Real Betis 3 · Porto 2
Real Betis won
Our pick, Real Betis to win at locked odds 2.09, won. It was published with 44% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Real Betis to win had shortened from 2.09 to 2.03, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Real Betis are the market favourites at 2.09 against Porto in the UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026. Porto are priced at 3.34 and the draw at 3.60.
With the margin removed, the implied chance is 45.3% for Real Betis, 28.4% for Porto and 26.3% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met once since 2019, a club friendly on 19 July 2019 that Porto won. We have no recent results for either club.
Real Betis to win is the pick, at 44% confidence, because they are the favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans to Porto, so it lowered the 45.3% market chance by 1.4 points. With a lone friendly as the only meeting and no team news to go on, this is a thin call.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Porto to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.90 Possible profit +6.90
Prediction: Real Betis to win 64% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.60 Possible profit +5.60
Prediction: Fenerbahce to win 59% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.25 Possible profit +6.25
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Fenerbahce
Slavia Prague
Sabah Baku
Borussia Dortmund