UEFA Champions League Finished
Our pick: RasenBallsport Leipzig to win at 2.01, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
RasenBallsport Leipzig 1 · PSV Eindhoven 0
RasenBallsport Leipzig won
Our pick, RasenBallsport Leipzig to win at locked odds 2.01, won. It was published with 47% confidence.
Before the start the best price on RasenBallsport Leipzig to win had shortened from 2.01 to 1.58, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
RasenBallsport Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven meet in the UEFA Champions League on 13 October 2026. The market makes RasenBallsport Leipzig the favourite at 2.01, with PSV Eindhoven at 3.26 and the draw at 4.00.
Once the bookmaker margin is removed, the implied chance is 47.2% for RasenBallsport Leipzig, 29.1% for PSV Eindhoven and 23.7% for the draw. We have neither a head-to-head record nor recent results for these clubs, so form and history cannot be weighed.
We pick RasenBallsport Leipzig to win at 47% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. With no records to draw on, the 47.2% market chance was left unchanged. Line-ups and team news are not available to us, which is the chief uncertainty, and PSV Eindhoven are far from priced out.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
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Prediction: RasenBallsport Leipzig to win 74% confidence
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