La Liga Finished
Our pick: Real Madrid to win at 1.25, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Real Madrid 4 · Sevilla 1
Real Madrid won
Our pick, Real Madrid to win at locked odds 1.25, won. It was published with 78% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Real Madrid to win had shortened from 1.25 to 1.232, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Real Madrid are heavy favourites against Sevilla in La Liga on 18 October 2026. The market offers 1.25 on Real Madrid, an implied chance of 75.7%, with the draw at 14.9% and Sevilla at 9.5%.
Across all competitions combined, the 15 meetings since 2019 brought 13 wins for Real Madrid, none for Sevilla and 2 games without a winner. The latest was in La Liga on 17 May 2026. Recent results for either club are not available to us.
We pick Real Madrid to win, at 78% confidence. The head-to-head record strongly favours Real Madrid and raised the market chance of 75.7% by 2.3 points. The remaining danger is what we cannot see, such as team news and pitch conditions.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win 77% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 12.60 Possible profit +2.60
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Prediction: Deportivo Alaves to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.35 Possible profit +7.35
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Deportivo Alaves
Malaga
Rayo Vallecano
Elche