Sabah Baku vs Borussia Dortmund
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
UEFA Champions League Finished
Our pick: Slavia Prague to win at 1.975, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Sabah Baku 2 · Slavia Prague 0
Sabah Baku won
Our pick, Slavia Prague to win at locked odds 1.975, lost. It was published with 48% confidence, leaving a 52% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Slavia Prague to win had shortened from 1.975 to 1.755, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Sabah Baku meet Slavia Prague in the UEFA Champions League on 13 October 2026, and the market makes Slavia Prague the favourite at 1.975 to win in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, the implied chance is 48.1% for Slavia Prague, 26.4% for Sabah Baku and 25.5% for the draw.
We hold no head-to-head record for these clubs and no recent results for either of them, so that side of the picture is blank. Those records therefore had nothing to add, and the market chance was left unchanged.
Our pick is Slavia Prague to win, with 48% confidence. That matches the market chance of 48.1%, untouched by any record, and the basis is that Slavia Prague are the market favourite once the margin is stripped out. The main risk is how little we can see: line-ups, injuries and team news are not available to us, and the gap to Sabah Baku is a modest one.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
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