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Prematch Sports Prediction

Eredivisie Finished

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Prediction

Our pick: Sparta Rotterdam to win at 1.55, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Result

Won

Sparta Rotterdam 3 · Willem II 2

Sparta Rotterdam won

How our call settled

Our pick, Sparta Rotterdam to win at locked odds 1.55, won. It was published with 63% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Sparta Rotterdam to win had drifted from 1.55 to 1.58, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam are the market favourites for the Eredivisie match with Willem II on 17 October 2026, priced at 1.55. With the margin taken out, the implied chance is 61.1% for Sparta Rotterdam, 21.6% for the draw and 17.2% for Willem II, who are priced at 5.50.

Across all competitions combined, Sparta Rotterdam have won 11 of the 15 meetings since 2018 and Willem II 4, so every game produced a winner. Their latest meeting was in the KNVB Beker on 18 December 2025. No recent results are available for either club.

We go with Sparta Rotterdam to win, at 63% confidence. They are the favourites once the margin is removed, and the head-to-head record pointing their way added 1.9 points to the 61.1% market chance. Team news is not available to us, which leaves Willem II room to cause an upset.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.55 Our pick
X · Draw 17.00
2 · Willem II 358.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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