Eredivisie Finished
Our pick: Utrecht to win at 1.512, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Utrecht 3 · Willem II 1
Utrecht won
Our pick, Utrecht to win at locked odds 1.512, won. It was published with 65% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Utrecht to win had shortened from 1.512 to 1.51, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Utrecht are favoured by the market for their Eredivisie match against Willem II on 11 October 2026, at a price of 1.512. Without the bookmaker margin, the implied chance is 62.8% for Utrecht, 20.4% for the draw and 16.8% for Willem II, who are priced at 5.65.
The head-to-head record across all competitions combined covers 15 meetings since 2016. Utrecht came out on top in 11, Willem II in 3, and 1 had no winner; the latest was on 9 March 2025 in the Eredivisie. We have no recent-results record for either club.
We pick Utrecht to win, with 65% confidence. They are the favourite once the margin is removed, and the head-to-head record, which leans to Utrecht, added 2.2 points to the 62.8% market chance. Line-ups and fitness news are not available, and they are the main gaps that could undo the call.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Utrecht to win 57% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.56 Possible profit +6.56
Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles to win 61% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.60 Possible profit +5.60
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
Prediction: Fenerbahce to win 59% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.25 Possible profit +6.25
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar
Sabah Baku
Borussia Dortmund
Fenerbahce
Slavia Prague