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Prematch Sports Prediction

KHL Finished

Neftekhimik vs Barys Prediction

Our pick: Neftekhimik to win at 1.595, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Neftekhimik Ice Palace (Nizhnekamsk)

Result

Lost

Neftekhimik 4 · Barys 5

Barys won after overtime

How our call settled

Our pick, Neftekhimik to win at locked odds 1.595, lost. It was published with 63% confidence, leaving a 37% chance for Barys to win, the outcome that came in.

Before the start the best price on Neftekhimik to win had drifted from 1.595 to 1.61, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Neftekhimik take on Barys on 2 October 2026, a fixture listed under KHL. The bookmaker line makes Neftekhimik the favourite at 1.595, which is 59.5% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Barys at 2.344 (40.5%).

There is no head-to-head record between Neftekhimik and Barys in our data feed, so past meetings play no part in this call. In our results records, Neftekhimik won 4 of their last 4 completed matches. In our results records, Barys won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 completed matches.

The call is Neftekhimik to win, overtime and shootout included, at 63% confidence: the market's margin-free 59.5% for Neftekhimik, moved up 3.0 points by recent results; while our results records are thin, the move is limited to 3 points. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Neftekhimik 1.595 Our pick
2 · Barys 2.14

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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