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Prematch Sports Prediction

KHL Finished

Barys vs Sibir Novosibirsk Prediction

Our pick: Barys to win at 1.67, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Barys

vs

Barys Arena (Astana)

Sibir Novosibirsk

Result

Lost

Barys 2 · Sibir Novosibirsk 3

Sibir Novosibirsk won

How our call settled

Our pick, Barys to win at locked odds 1.67, lost. It was published with 58% confidence, leaving a 42% chance for Sibir Novosibirsk to win, the outcome that came in.

Before the start the best price on Barys to win had shortened from 1.67 to 1.648, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Barys meet Sibir Novosibirsk in the KHL on 12 October 2026. The market on the match winner, overtime and shootout included, makes Barys the favourite at odds of 1.67, with Sibir Novosibirsk at 2.20. With the bookmaker margin removed, the implied chance is 56.8% for Barys and 43.2% for Sibir Novosibirsk.

We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. On recent results, Barys won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 KHL games, most recently beating Spartak Moscow on 4 October 2026 and Neftekhimik on 2 October 2026. Sibir Novosibirsk won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with the latest defeat to Salavat Yulaev Ufa on 7 October 2026.

Our call is Barys to win, with a confidence of 58%. The pick is the market favourite once the margin is removed, and the recent-results record, which leans to Barys, moved the market chance of 56.8% up by 1.4 points. Line-ups, injuries and starting goaltenders are not available to us, so any of those could change the picture.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Barys 1.67 Our pick
2 · Sibir Novosibirsk 1.04

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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