Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights to win 53% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.75 Possible profit +7.75
NHL Finished
Our pick: Vegas Golden Knights to win at 1.34, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Vegas Golden Knights 6 · Calgary Flames 2
Vegas Golden Knights won
Our pick, Vegas Golden Knights to win at locked odds 1.34, won. It was published with 79% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Vegas Golden Knights to win had drifted from 1.34 to 1.38, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Vegas Golden Knights take on Calgary Flames on 16 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL. The bookmaker line makes Vegas Golden Knights the favourite at 1.34, which is 70.9% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Calgary Flames at 3.26 (29.1%).
The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2023: Vegas Golden Knights won 9 and Calgary Flames won 6. Vegas Golden Knights have played 7 games in the NHL this season (5 won, 2 lost), form L W W W W. Calgary Flames have played 5 games this season (0 won, 5 lost), form L L L L L.
The call is Vegas Golden Knights to win, overtime and shootout included, at 79% confidence: the market's margin-free 70.9% for Vegas Golden Knights, moved up 8.0 points by the head-to-head record, recent results and the season record; the move is limited to 8 points. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.
Overtime and shootout included
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights to win 53% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.75 Possible profit +7.75
Prediction: New York Islanders to win 56% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.52 Possible profit +7.52
Prediction: Columbus Blue Jackets to win 56% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Prediction: Washington Capitals to win 64% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.00 Possible profit +7.00