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Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Vegas Golden Knights vs Calgary Flames Prediction

Our pick: Vegas Golden Knights to win at 1.34, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)

Result

Won

Vegas Golden Knights 6 · Calgary Flames 2

Vegas Golden Knights won

How our call settled

Our pick, Vegas Golden Knights to win at locked odds 1.34, won. It was published with 79% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Vegas Golden Knights to win had drifted from 1.34 to 1.38, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Vegas Golden Knights take on Calgary Flames on 16 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL. The bookmaker line makes Vegas Golden Knights the favourite at 1.34, which is 70.9% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Calgary Flames at 3.26 (29.1%).

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2023: Vegas Golden Knights won 9 and Calgary Flames won 6. Vegas Golden Knights have played 7 games in the NHL this season (5 won, 2 lost), form L W W W W. Calgary Flames have played 5 games this season (0 won, 5 lost), form L L L L L.

The call is Vegas Golden Knights to win, overtime and shootout included, at 79% confidence: the market's margin-free 70.9% for Vegas Golden Knights, moved up 8.0 points by the head-to-head record, recent results and the season record; the move is limited to 8 points. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Vegas Golden Knights 1.34 Our pick
2 · Calgary Flames 11.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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