Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights to win 53% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.75 Possible profit +7.75
NHL Finished
Our pick: Vegas Golden Knights to win at 1.41, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Vegas Golden Knights 5 · Chicago Blackhawks 2
Vegas Golden Knights won
Our pick, Vegas Golden Knights to win at locked odds 1.41, won. It was published with 67% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Vegas Golden Knights to win had shortened from 1.41 to 1.40, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Vegas Golden Knights take on Chicago Blackhawks on 30 September 2026, a fixture listed under NHL, at T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas). The bookmaker line makes Vegas Golden Knights the favourite at 1.41, which is 67.4% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Chicago Blackhawks at 2.915 (32.6%).
The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2022: Vegas Golden Knights won 9 and Chicago Blackhawks won 6. The most recent meeting was on 15 March 2026, in the NHL. Our records hold no recent completed matches for Vegas Golden Knights and Chicago Blackhawks.
The call is Vegas Golden Knights to win, overtime and shootout included, at 67% confidence, which is the margin-free price of the favourite rather than a claim to beat the bookmaker. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.
Overtime and shootout included
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights to win 53% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.75 Possible profit +7.75
Prediction: Washington Capitals to win 64% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.00 Possible profit +7.00
Prediction: Montreal Canadiens to win 63% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.50 Possible profit +5.50
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.52 Possible profit +7.52