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Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction

Our pick: Dallas Stars to win at 1.805, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Pittsburgh Penguins

vs

PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh)

Dallas Stars

Result

Lost

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 · Dallas Stars 1

Pittsburgh Penguins won after overtime

How our call settled

Our pick, Dallas Stars to win at locked odds 1.805, lost. It was published with 53% confidence, leaving a 47% chance for Pittsburgh Penguins to win, the outcome that came in.

Before the start the best price on Dallas Stars to win had shortened from 1.805 to 1.575, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Pittsburgh Penguins take on Dallas Stars on 10 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL. The bookmaker line makes Dallas Stars the favourite at 1.805, which is 52.6% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Pittsburgh Penguins at 2.005 (47.4%).

There is no head-to-head record between Pittsburgh Penguins and Dallas Stars in our data feed, so past meetings play no part in this call. In our results records, Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 completed matches. In our results records, Dallas Stars won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 completed matches.

The call is Dallas Stars to win, overtime and shootout included, at 53% confidence, which is the margin-free chance of the favourite. Our own records do not move it. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Pittsburgh Penguins 2.13
2 · Dallas Stars 1.805 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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