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Prematch Sports Prediction

KHL Finished

Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Prediction

Our pick: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win at 1.648, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Ice Palace (Cherepovets)

Result

Lost

Severstal Cherepovets 5 · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2

Severstal Cherepovets won

How our call settled

Our pick, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win at locked odds 1.648, lost. It was published with 58% confidence, leaving a 42% chance for Severstal Cherepovets to win, the outcome that came in.

Before the start the best price on Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win had shortened from 1.648 to 1.575, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Severstal Cherepovets and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl meet in the KHL on 15 October 2026. The market, with overtime and shootout included, favours Lokomotiv Yaroslavl at 1.648, with Severstal Cherepovets at 2.248. The implied chance is 57.7% for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl and 42.3% for Severstal Cherepovets.

We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Both teams won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 KHL games, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl most recently beating Dinamo Minsk on 10 October 2026 and Severstal Cherepovets beating Ak Bars Kazan the same day.

Our call is Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win, with confidence of 58%. The pick is the market favourite on the implied chances, and because recent results are level the records left the market chance of 57.7% unchanged. The main risk is that starting goaltenders, line-ups and injuries are not available to us, and the two sides arrive in very similar form.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Severstal Cherepovets 1.112
2 · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.648 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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