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Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Prediction

Our pick: Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 1.625, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Tampa Bay Lightning

vs

Benchmark International Arena (Tampa)

Minnesota Wild

Result

Won

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 · Minnesota Wild 2

Tampa Bay Lightning won

How our call settled

Our pick, Tampa Bay Lightning to win at locked odds 1.625, won. It was published with 58% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Tampa Bay Lightning to win had drifted from 1.625 to 1.775, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Tampa Bay Lightning take on Minnesota Wild on 8 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL. The bookmaker line makes Tampa Bay Lightning the favourite at 1.625, which is 58.5% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Minnesota Wild at 2.29 (41.5%).

There is no head-to-head record between Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild in our data feed, so past meetings play no part in this call. In our results records, Tampa Bay Lightning won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 completed matches. In our results records, Minnesota Wild won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 completed matches.

The call is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, overtime and shootout included, at 58% confidence, which is the margin-free chance of the favourite. Our own records do not move it. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Tampa Bay Lightning 1.625 Our pick
2 · Minnesota Wild 12.50

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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