Skip to content
Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction

Our pick: Pittsburgh Penguins to win at 1.90, locked when this prediction was published. The market priced both teams level, so the call went to the team with more head-to-head wins; the analysis below is written from match data.

Pittsburgh Penguins

vs

PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh)

Montreal Canadiens

Result

Won

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 · Montreal Canadiens 5

Pittsburgh Penguins won after overtime

How our call settled

Our pick, Pittsburgh Penguins to win at locked odds 1.90, won. It was published with 50% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Pittsburgh Penguins to win had drifted from 1.90 to 1.92, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Pittsburgh Penguins take on Montreal Canadiens on 3 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL, at PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh). The bookmaker line prices Montreal Canadiens and Pittsburgh Penguins level at 1.90 each, an implied chance of 50.0% apiece once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2021: Pittsburgh Penguins won 8 and Montreal Canadiens won 7. The most recent meeting was on 22 December 2025, in the NHL. Our records hold no recent completed matches for Pittsburgh Penguins and Montreal Canadiens.

The call is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, overtime and shootout included, at 50% confidence, the level market chance: with the prices level, it goes to the team with more wins in the head-to-head record. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Pittsburgh Penguins 1.90 Our pick
2 · Montreal Canadiens 1.84

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

Related picks