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Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction

Our pick: Toronto Maple Leafs to win at 1.864, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Toronto Maple Leafs

vs

Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)

New York Islanders

Result

Won

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 · New York Islanders 1

Toronto Maple Leafs won

How our call settled

Our pick, Toronto Maple Leafs to win at locked odds 1.864, won. It was published with 51% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Toronto Maple Leafs to win had shortened from 1.864 to 1.735, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs take on New York Islanders on 30 September 2026, a fixture listed under NHL, at Scotiabank Arena (Toronto). The bookmaker line makes Toronto Maple Leafs the favourite at 1.864, which is 50.9% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against New York Islanders at 1.936 (49.1%).

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2021: Toronto Maple Leafs won 6 and New York Islanders won 9. The most recent meeting was on 9 April 2026, in the NHL. Our records hold no recent completed matches for Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Islanders.

The call is Toronto Maple Leafs to win, overtime and shootout included, at 51% confidence, which is the margin-free price of the favourite rather than a claim to beat the bookmaker. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Toronto Maple Leafs 1.864 Our pick
2 · New York Islanders 13.50

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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