Skip to content
Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Our pick: Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 1.752, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

New York Rangers

vs

Madison Square Garden (New York)

Tampa Bay Lightning

Result

Lost

New York Rangers 5 · Tampa Bay Lightning 1

New York Rangers won

How our call settled

Our pick, Tampa Bay Lightning to win at locked odds 1.752, lost. It was published with 54% confidence, leaving a 46% chance for New York Rangers to win, the outcome that came in.

Before the start the best price on Tampa Bay Lightning to win had shortened from 1.752 to 1.60, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

New York Rangers take on Tampa Bay Lightning on 1 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL, at Madison Square Garden (New York). The bookmaker line makes Tampa Bay Lightning the favourite at 1.752, which is 54.2% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against New York Rangers at 2.07 (45.8%).

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2022: New York Rangers won 7 and Tampa Bay Lightning won 8. The most recent meeting was on 15 April 2026, in the NHL. Our records hold no recent completed matches for New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning.

The call is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, overtime and shootout included, at 54% confidence, which is the margin-free price of the favourite rather than a claim to beat the bookmaker. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · New York Rangers 2.336
2 · Tampa Bay Lightning 1.752 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

Related picks