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Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction

Our pick: Vegas Golden Knights to win at 1.55, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Vegas Golden Knights

vs

T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)

Pittsburgh Penguins

Result

Won

Vegas Golden Knights 6 · Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Vegas Golden Knights won

How our call settled

Our pick, Vegas Golden Knights to win at locked odds 1.55, won. It was published with 65% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Vegas Golden Knights to win had shortened from 1.55 to 1.46, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Vegas Golden Knights take on Pittsburgh Penguins on 18 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL. The bookmaker line makes Vegas Golden Knights the favourite at 1.55, which is 61.3% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Pittsburgh Penguins at 2.45 (38.8%).

There is no head-to-head record between Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins in our data feed, so past meetings play no part in this call. In our results records, Vegas Golden Knights won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 completed matches. In our results records, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 completed matches.

The call is Vegas Golden Knights to win, overtime and shootout included, at 65% confidence: the market's margin-free 61.3% for Vegas Golden Knights, moved up 4.0 points by recent results; the move is limited to 8 points. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Vegas Golden Knights 1.55 Our pick
2 · Pittsburgh Penguins 12.50

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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