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Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks Prediction

Our pick: Toronto Maple Leafs to win at 1.625, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Toronto Maple Leafs

vs

Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)

San Jose Sharks

Result

Won

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 · San Jose Sharks 1

Toronto Maple Leafs won

How our call settled

Our pick, Toronto Maple Leafs to win at locked odds 1.625, won. It was published with 58% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Toronto Maple Leafs to win had drifted from 1.625 to 1.725, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs face San Jose Sharks in the NHL on 19 October 2026, with the match winner market including overtime and shootout. The market favourite is Toronto Maple Leafs at odds of 1.625, against 2.29 for San Jose Sharks. The implied chances are 58.5% for Toronto Maple Leafs and 41.5% for San Jose Sharks.

We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Over their last five matches both teams have 2 wins and 3 defeats. San Jose Sharks beat Nashville Predators on 16 October 2026, while Toronto Maple Leafs lost to Buffalo Sabres on 15 October 2026.

We pick Toronto Maple Leafs to win, with a confidence of 58%. The pick follows the market favourite, and because the recent records are level we left the market chance of 58.5% unchanged. The main risk is that starting goaltenders and team news are not available to us.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Toronto Maple Leafs 1.625 Our pick
2 · San Jose Sharks 2.11

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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