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Prematch Sports Prediction

NHL Finished

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Prediction

Our pick: Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 1.53, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Tampa Bay Lightning

vs

Benchmark International Arena (Tampa)

Seattle Kraken

Result

Won

Tampa Bay Lightning 4 · Seattle Kraken 3

Tampa Bay Lightning won after overtime

How our call settled

Our pick, Tampa Bay Lightning to win at locked odds 1.53, won. It was published with 63% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Tampa Bay Lightning to win had shortened from 1.53 to 1.37, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Tampa Bay Lightning take on Seattle Kraken on 15 October 2026, a fixture listed under NHL. The bookmaker line makes Tampa Bay Lightning the favourite at 1.53, which is 62.0% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Seattle Kraken at 2.50 (38.0%).

There is no head-to-head record between Tampa Bay Lightning and Seattle Kraken in our data feed, so past meetings play no part in this call. In our results records, Tampa Bay Lightning won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 completed matches. In our results records, Seattle Kraken won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 completed matches.

The call is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, overtime and shootout included, at 63% confidence: the market's margin-free 62.0% for Tampa Bay Lightning, moved up 1.3 points by recent results; the move is limited to 8 points. Line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime and shootout included

Updated

1 · Tampa Bay Lightning 1.53 Our pick
2 · Seattle Kraken 2.15

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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