KHL Finished
Our pick: SKA Saint Petersburg to win at 1.48, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
SKA Saint Petersburg 2 · Severstal Cherepovets 5
Severstal Cherepovets won
Our pick, SKA Saint Petersburg to win at locked odds 1.48, lost. It was published with 64% confidence, leaving a 36% chance for Severstal Cherepovets to win, the outcome that came in.
Before the start the best price on SKA Saint Petersburg to win had shortened from 1.48 to 1.44, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Severstal Cherepovets and SKA Saint Petersburg meet in the KHL on 6 October 2026. The market makes SKA Saint Petersburg the favourite at 1.48, with Severstal Cherepovets priced at 2.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, the implied chance is 64.2% for SKA Saint Petersburg and 35.8% for Severstal Cherepovets.
We hold no head-to-head record for this pairing. Severstal Cherepovets won 3 of 4 recent games, though the latest was a defeat by Admiral Vladivostok on 1 October 2026. SKA Saint Petersburg won 2 of 3, beating Barys on 27 September 2026 before losing to CSKA Moscow on 29 September 2026.
Our pick is SKA Saint Petersburg to win, at 64% confidence. It rests on SKA Saint Petersburg being the market favourite once the margin is removed, while recent results, which lean slightly to Severstal Cherepovets, lowered the market chance of 64.2% by 0.6 points. Team news and the starting goaltenders are not available, so a late change there is the chief danger to the call.
Overtime and shootout included
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: SKA Saint Petersburg to win 53% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.00 Possible profit +7.00
Prediction: Severstal Cherepovets to win 64% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.75 Possible profit +5.75
Prediction: SKA Saint Petersburg to win 62% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.40 Possible profit +4.40
Prediction: Spartak Moscow to win 58% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.10 Possible profit +6.10
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