Severstal Cherepovets vs Shanghai Dragons
Prediction: Severstal Cherepovets to win 64% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.75 Possible profit +5.75
KHL Finished
Our pick: Severstal Cherepovets to win at 1.67, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Severstal Cherepovets 4 · Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 1
Severstal Cherepovets won
Our pick, Severstal Cherepovets to win at locked odds 1.67, won. It was published with 60% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Severstal Cherepovets to win had drifted from 1.67 to 1.74, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Severstal Cherepovets meet Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod in the KHL on 19 October 2026, and the market makes Severstal Cherepovets the favourite at decimal odds of 1.67, against 2.20 for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, the implied chance is 56.8% for Severstal Cherepovets and 43.2% for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod.
We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. On recent results Severstal Cherepovets won all 5 of their last 5 KHL matches, most recently against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl on 15 October 2026, while Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, the latest defeat coming against Metallurg Magnitogorsk on 12 October 2026.
Our call is Severstal Cherepovets to win, with a confidence of 60%. It follows because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed, and the recent-results record leaned to them, which moved the market chance of 56.8% up by 2.8 points. The main risk is that we cannot see line-ups, injuries or the starting goaltenders, so a late change in either camp would not show in these figures.
Overtime and shootout included
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Severstal Cherepovets to win 64% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.75 Possible profit +5.75
Prediction: Ak Bars Kazan to win 50% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 18.05 Possible profit +8.05
Prediction: Spartak Moscow to win 58% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.10 Possible profit +6.10
Prediction: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win 71% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.70 Possible profit +3.70