Severstal Cherepovets vs Shanghai Dragons
Prediction: Severstal Cherepovets to win 64% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.75 Possible profit +5.75
KHL Finished
Our pick: Shanghai Dragons to win at 1.465, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Sochi 2 · Shanghai Dragons 5
Shanghai Dragons won
Our pick, Shanghai Dragons to win at locked odds 1.465, won. It was published with 65% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Shanghai Dragons to win had drifted from 1.465 to 1.475, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Sochi and Shanghai Dragons meet in the KHL on 19 October 2026, with the market on the match winner, overtime and shootout included. The bookmaker line makes Shanghai Dragons the favourite at decimal odds of 1.465, against 2.696 for Sochi. The implied chance is 64.8% for Shanghai Dragons and 35.2% for Sochi, once the bookmaker margin is removed.
We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. In recent results Sochi won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 KHL games, beating Ak Bars Kazan on 12 October 2026 but losing twice to Spartak Moscow. Shanghai Dragons also won 2 and lost 3 of 5, with defeats by Traktor Chelyabinsk on 14 October 2026 and Dinamo Minsk on 12 October 2026.
Our call is Shanghai Dragons to win, the market favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed. Because the recent records are level and our data has no head-to-head record, we left the market chance of 64.8% unchanged, which gives a confidence of 65%. The main risk is that line-ups, injuries and the starting goaltenders are not available to us, so a late change could shift the picture.
Overtime and shootout included
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Severstal Cherepovets to win 64% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.75 Possible profit +5.75
Prediction: Dinamo Minsk to win 70% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.80 Possible profit +3.80
Prediction: Shanghai Dragons to win 70% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.75 Possible profit +3.75
Prediction: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win 71% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.70 Possible profit +3.70