KHL Finished
Our pick: Spartak Moscow to win at 1.32, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Sochi 2 · Spartak Moscow 5
Spartak Moscow won
Our pick, Spartak Moscow to win at locked odds 1.32, won. It was published with 71% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Spartak Moscow to win had drifted from 1.32 to 1.355, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Spartak Moscow are clear market favourites over Sochi in the KHL on 7 October 2026, priced at 1.32 against 3.38 for Sochi. Once the margin is stripped out, the implied chance stands at 71.9% for Spartak Moscow and 28.1% for Sochi.
We have no head-to-head record to draw on. Form is the awkward part for the favourite, as Spartak Moscow lost all 4 of their recent games, the latest against Metallurg Magnitogorsk on 2 October 2026. Sochi won 1 of 5, beating Salavat Yulaev Ufa on 30 September 2026.
Spartak Moscow to win is our pick, at 71% confidence. It follows the market favourite, whose 71.9% chance was lowered by 1.0 points because recent results lean towards Sochi. Team news and the starting goaltenders are not available, and Spartak Moscow come in on a losing run, so the price may flatter them.
Overtime and shootout included
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: CSKA Moscow to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 18.05 Possible profit +8.05
Prediction: Dinamo Minsk to win 70% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.80 Possible profit +3.80
Prediction: Spartak Moscow to win 58% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.10 Possible profit +6.10
Prediction: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win 71% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.70 Possible profit +3.70
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Minsk
Severstal Cherepovets
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Neftekhimik