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Prematch Sports Prediction

European Championship Finished

Belgium vs Slovenia Prediction

Our pick: Slovenia to win at 1.335, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Belgium

vs

Palavela (Turin)

Slovenia

Result

Won

Belgium 1 · Slovenia 3

Slovenia won

How our call settled

Our pick, Slovenia to win at locked odds 1.335, won. It was published with 71% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Slovenia to win had shortened from 1.335 to 1.30, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Belgium take on Slovenia on 23 September 2026, a fixture listed under European Championship. The bookmaker line makes Slovenia the favourite at 1.335, which is 71.1% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Belgium at 3.28 (28.9%).

There is no head-to-head record between Belgium and Slovenia in our data feed, so past meetings play no part in this call. In our results records, Belgium won 1 of their last 1 completed matches. In our results records, Slovenia won 1 of their last 1 completed matches.

The call is Slovenia to win, at 71% confidence, which is the margin-free price of the favourite rather than a claim to beat the bookmaker. Line-ups and injury news are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Updated

1 · Belgium 15.70
2 · Slovenia 1.335 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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