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Prematch Sports Prediction

European Championship Finished

Poland vs Germany Prediction

Our pick: Poland to win at 1.096, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Poland

vs

Arena 8888 (Sofia)

Germany

Result

Won

Poland 3 · Germany 0

Poland won

How our call settled

Our pick, Poland to win at locked odds 1.096, won. It was published with 87% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Poland to win had shortened from 1.096 to 1.05, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Poland take on Germany on 22 September 2026, a fixture listed under European Championship, at Arena 8888 (Sofia). The bookmaker line makes Poland the favourite at 1.096, which is 86.6% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Germany at 7.10 (13.4%).

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2018: Poland won 11 and Germany won 4. The most recent meeting was on 10 July 2026, in the International Friendlies. Our records hold no recent completed matches for Poland and Germany.

The call is Poland to win, at 87% confidence, which is the margin-free price of the favourite rather than a claim to beat the bookmaker. Line-ups and injury news are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Updated

1 · Poland 1.096 Our pick
2 · Germany 15.70

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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