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Prematch Sports Prediction

European Championship Finished

Slovenia vs Poland Prediction

Our pick: Poland to win at 1.248, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Slovenia

vs

Unipol Forum (Assago)

Poland

Result

Won

Slovenia 0 · Poland 3

Poland won

How our call settled

Our pick, Poland to win at locked odds 1.248, won. It was published with 76% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Poland to win had shortened from 1.248 to 1.19, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Slovenia take on Poland on 25 September 2026, a fixture listed under European Championship. The bookmaker line makes Poland the favourite at 1.248, which is 76.1% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Slovenia at 3.98 (23.9%).

There is no head-to-head record between Slovenia and Poland in our data feed, so past meetings play no part in this call. In our results records, Slovenia won 2 of their last 2 completed matches. In our results records, Poland won 1 of their last 1 completed matches.

The call is Poland to win, at 76% confidence, which is the margin-free price of the favourite rather than a claim to beat the bookmaker. Line-ups and injury news are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Updated

1 · Slovenia 12.60
2 · Poland 1.248 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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