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Prematch Sports Prediction

European Championship Finished

Slovenia vs Serbia Prediction

Our pick: Slovenia to win at 1.225, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Slovenia

vs

Arena 8888 (Sofia)

Serbia

Result

Won

Slovenia 3 · Serbia 0

Slovenia won

How our call settled

Our pick, Slovenia to win at locked odds 1.225, won. It was published with 78% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Slovenia to win had shortened from 1.225 to 1.195, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Slovenia take on Serbia on 21 September 2026, a fixture listed under European Championship, at Arena 8888 (Sofia). The bookmaker line makes Slovenia the favourite at 1.225, which is 77.5% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Serbia at 4.22 (22.5%).

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 15 meetings since 2017: Slovenia won 9 and Serbia won 6. The most recent meeting was on 19 July 2026, in the FIVB Nations League. Our records hold no recent completed matches for Slovenia and Serbia.

The call is Slovenia to win, at 78% confidence, which is the margin-free price of the favourite rather than a claim to beat the bookmaker. Line-ups and injury news are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Updated

1 · Slovenia 1.225 Our pick
2 · Serbia 14.50

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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